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The Golden Bull Run Begins as Bitcoin Hits New High at $76,000

Plus Republicans Push for Bitcoin Strategic Reserve with One Million BTC Plan

The Breakdown First Five - Thursday, November 7, 2024

Welcome back to The Breakdown First Five — the 5 most interesting and/or important stories in bitcoin, crypto, and markets to start your day.

The Golden Bull Run Begins as Bitcoin Hits New High at $76,000

5. Fed Day

A 25 basis point cut is fully priced in for today’s FOMC meeting with another cut expected in December. Powell has been clear throughout the campaign that the Fed is apolitical and won’t react to the election. He went so far as to say they won’t change policy in anticipation of tariffs and tax cuts. The expectation is that the Fed will stay the course into inauguration day, reacting to macro shocks and data as it comes in. The cutting cycle remains in play. 

4. Crypto Funds are Back

After years in the wilderness, crypto funds had their phones ringing off the hook yesterday. Dan Tapiero of 10T said, "We have 300 investors in our funds. 30-50 suddenly want to talk this morning about how to get more exposure.” Startups are also rethinking their plans to leave the country or maybe even return. It’s a new day for crypto in America. 

3. ETFs Ripping

ETF investors rushed back to Bitcoin, trading over $6B in volume yesterday. Blackrock set a new volume record with $4.1B. Flows were incredibly strong, with $622M worth of inflows. Blackrock reports inflows on a one day lag, so their $69M outflow was actually due to Tuesday’s de-risking. The Trump trade is on and tradfi is choosing Bitcoin.  

2. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve

The most bombastic promise of the campaign was establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve. With control of Congress seeming likely, Republicans actually have a path to making it a reality. Cynthia Lummis is all in, declaring that it will happen on Twitter. Her plan is much larger than Trump’s, buying one million BTC and holding it for 20 years. Bitcoin strategists with links to the Trump camp are taking this proposal seriously and urging a fast decision.

1.  The Golden Bull Run Begins

One day is all it took for Bitcoiners to declare that a massive bull run had begun. Bitcoin hit a new high of $76,000 yesterday and many expect this pattern to continue into the end of the year. With the pall of the Democrat crackdown lifted, risk is on, regulatory concerns have dissipated and crypto is an investable asset class once again.