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- Bitcoin ETFs: $4.6B Wall Street Splash
Bitcoin ETFs: $4.6B Wall Street Splash
Plus Inflation Ticks Up: December's CPI Spike
The Breakdown First Five - Friday, January 12, 2024
Welcome back to The Breakdown First Five — the 5 most interesting and/or important stories in bitcoin, crypto, and markets to start your day.
5. Vanguard Denies Bitcoiners
The twist in yesterday’s ETF launch came from multiple brokerage’s denying access to the new Bitcoin products. While some caused by compliance and risk assessment delays, Vanguard said outright that Bitcoin’s volatility was incompatible with their investment philosophy. Last week, GBTC was a perfectly acceptable investment in Vanguard accounts, but now their clients are only allowed to sell.
Casual reminder that Vanguard lets you buy BITO (bitcoin futures ETF), 3x levered ETFs that all lose money, and soy-infused ESG funds
But you can't buy Blackrock's BTC ETF
Fascinating behavior
— Evanss6 (@Evan_ss6)
5:49 PM • Jan 11, 2024
4. Inflation Ticks Up
December’s inflation data showed the highest headline CPI rate in 3 months, running at a 3.4% annualized rate. Although six rate cuts are still priced in from March, another inflationary wave would make a cutting cycle difficult to imagine. While the Fed looks for its soft landing, trouble in the Middle East has pushed up shipping costs and put oil on notice.
The Fed wants you to know that the fight against inflation is over because the economy cannot sustainably endure this level of cost of debt.
However, the inflation genie is out of the bottle and a second wave is likely in progress.
Owning hard assets is the best way to protect… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
— Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta)
2:29 PM • Jan 11, 2024
3. Warren Hates Bitcoin ETFs
Senator Elizabeth Warren is not happy that the SEC approved Bitcoin ETFs. She said the SEC was “wrong on the law and wrong on the policy”, implying they should have made up a new reason to deny the products. Notable members of the anti-crypto army echoed this sentiment, suggesting the SEC should have simply ignored the court order against them.
"Wrong on the law" is not something you get to say when the SEC's ETF denials were characterized as arbitrary and capricious by the D.C. Circuit.
— Preston Byrne (@prestonjbyrne)
10:45 PM • Jan 11, 2024
2. ETF Day Turns Red
The first day of trading for Bitcoin ETFs was a mixed bag. Pre-market saw the price swiftly climb to a new 2-year high on the open. Sentiment quickly turned, with Bitcoin dramatically plunging to complete a round trip by lunchtime. More than $83M of liquidations washed out traders on both sides of the speculation as Wall Street welcomed Bitcoin to the big leagues.
Ready to be wrong here, but looking around at the froth, I can't help but wonder if this will be reminiscent of the Coinbase IPO -- a momentous event that caused many to expect much higher afterward, but instead, that was the top for a couple quarters for $BTC.
— Chris Burniske (@cburniske)
2:12 AM • Jan 12, 2024
1. Massive Volume, Questionable Flows
Bitcoin ETFs made a big splash in their Wall Street debut, trading over $4.6B in volume. Blackrock topped new entrants with $1B changing hands, with GBTC moving $2.3B and BITO registering $2B. During the session analysts suggested money may have simply been exiting the older products to buy the new and first reports of flow data paint a dismal picture. Bitcoin’s Wall Street debut may have seen net outflows once the final figures are tallied.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs - FLOW DATA
Possible early flow numbers appear in for 11th Jan 2024.
Looks like $400m of net positive flow for the 7 products with data so far. Fidelity is in the lead with $227m flow
No data on GBTC yet
* The data is preliminary only, subject to change
— BitMEX Research (@BitMEXResearch)
9:04 AM • Jan 12, 2024
Thanks for reading -NLW
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